Summer 2026 Investor Letter: Continued Broadening

Insights | Summer 2026 Investor Letter: Continued Broadening

Author: David I. Templeton, CFA, Principal and Chief Investment Officer

With the first half of 2026 in the rearview mirror, the equity markets have been mostly kind to investors. A broadening of market participation accelerated in the second quarter with small company stocks (S&P Small Cap 600 Index) up 19.7% in the second quarter and outpacing the S&P 500 Index return of 15.2%. For the first six months of the year, small cap stocks are up 23.9% and more than double the return of the S&P 500 Index return of 10.21%. Our Summer 2026 Investor Letter touches on factors contributing to these strong returns, with one being the strength in corporate earnings. The estimated growth rate for 2026 S&P 500 earnings is 29.4% and far better than the 14% growth rate in 2025.  When the year began, the 2026 S&P 500 earnings growth estimate was 15.6%. Artificial Intelligence has been an overarching theme for investors, and the newsletter touches on some of our thoughts around this theme.

More of our thoughts on the year and the second half are contained in the Summer 2026 Investor Letter.


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