Equity Market Telegraphing a Strengthening Economy?
About a year ago many strategists were calling for a U.S. recession to begin by mid-year this year. A part of the rationale behind this thinking was the pace…
With the first half of 2023 coming to a close this past Friday, the equity markets rewarded investors with a strong performance. Much of the markets return to…
The talk of a recession has been ongoing for what seems like more than a year. One such headline from mid-year 2022 predicted the U.S. economy would be in a…
A characteristic of the market advance this year is the fact a small number of stocks are contributing to the advance. Further, the stocks contributing the…
My blog post yesterday highlighted the narrowness of the market advance this year, i.e., a handful of stocks generating most of the return. One area of the…
A Small Number of Stocks Contributing to the Market's Advance
From time to time I note the economy is not the market and vice versa. Being aware of this difference has proven important this year as the S&P 500 Index is up…
Potential Significance of Growth Stocks Outperforming Value Stocks
I have written about the performance differences between growth stocks versus value stocks depending on the business cycle. As the economy begins to accelerate…
As NFL teams rotated into their position to make a draft selection in the recently completed NFL draft, they were placed "on the clock" in terms of having a…
As Stocks Outperform Equity Fund Flows Are Negative
Although 2022 was not a good year for most investment asset classes a recovery in equities actually began early in the fourth quarter of the year. The S&P 500…
Will International Equities Recent Outperformance to U.S. Equities Continue?
Over the past 15 years international developed market equities as measured by the MSCI EAFE Index have outperformed the S&P 500 Index in only four years and…
Spring 2023 Investor Letter: A Stock Market Rebound Continues
Without a doubt 2022 was a tough year for investment returns with 105 out of 112 asset classes generating a negative return, according to Morningstar data…
Investments firms often issue the caveat that "past performance is no guarantee of future results." One area where this is proving to be true this year is with…
